workout Archives - The Systems Thinker https://thesystemsthinker.com/tag/workout/ Thu, 14 Jan 2016 02:52:13 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.8.3 Investigating the FBI https://thesystemsthinker.com/investigating-the-fbi/ https://thesystemsthinker.com/investigating-the-fbi/#respond Mon, 11 Jan 2016 05:06:08 +0000 http://systemsthinker.wpengine.com/?p=2613 n the aftermath of September 11, U. S. intelligence agencies have come under criticism for their inability to piece together information to prevent one or more of the terrorist attacks that claimed more than 3,000 lives on that tragic day. Top officials have deflected these concerns as being the product of 20/20 hindsight. But a […]

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In the aftermath of September 11, U. S. intelligence agencies have come under criticism for their inability to piece together information to prevent one or more of the terrorist attacks that claimed more than 3,000 lives on that tragic day. Top officials have deflected these concerns as being the product of 20/20 hindsight. But a 21-year FBI veteran recently went public with her assessment of some of the structural flaws that led officials at the Bureau’s headquarters in Washington, D. C., to overlook information from the field, fail to share details about suspected terrorist activity with branch offices, and dismiss pleas to grant local agents permission to fully investigate leads.

In a May 21 letter to FBI Director Robert Mueller, Special Agent and Minneapolis Chief Division Counsel Coleen Rowley spells out what transpired in mid-August 2001, as her office sought permission from headquarters to search the computer and other personal effects of Zacarias Moussaoui. INS officials had arrested Moussaoui on a visa violation after local FBI agents learned that the French-Moroccan was seeking instruction in flying 747s. Checks with French intelligence about Moussaoui turned up ties to radical Islamist groups. But even in the face of desperate calls for action from local agents, superiors from FBI headquarters scuttled the investigation. They also failed to disclose to the Minneapolis agents that the Phoenix Division had earlier warned of Al Qaeda operatives seeking flight training for terrorist purposes.

Bureau further responded to previous missteps by centralizing decisionRowley’s motives for writing the scathing memo seem noble: “Until we come clean and deal with the root causes, the Department of Justice will continue to experience problems fighting terrorism and fighting crime in general.” Based on her years of experience, she speculates about the causes of the apparent ineptitude from the central office: Because missions in the past that have turned out badly have damaged or destroyed careers, many managers in the FBI avoid all “unnecessary” actions and decisions. “Since one generally only runs the risk of [being reprimanded for making an error] when one does something, the safer course of action is to do nothing.” The Bureau further responded to previous missteps by centralizing decision-making and requiring numerous rounds of approval for even the most routine tasks. The resulting climate of fear chilled aggressive FBI enforcement and discouraged the best agents from entering the management career path.

Rapid Response, Lasting Problems

Rowley believes that one of Mueller’s proposed solutions to the FBI’s shortcomings on these cases—developing a rapid-response team of terrorist experts based in Washington—will only reinforce the culture of anxiety, caution, and indecision that the hijackers managed to exploit.

Mueller’s plan also overlooks the perceptive way in which field agents did their jobs, despite roadblocks thrown up by the central office.

Although Mueller has repeatedly stated that the FBI had no way of knowing about the plot to turn commercial airliners into bombs, Rowley pointedly says, “This is not a case of everyone in the FBI failing to appreciate the potential consequences. It is obvious . . . that the agents in Minneapolis who were closest to the action . . . did fully appreciate the terrorist risk/danger posed by Moussaoui and his possible co-conspirators even prior to September 11th.” The FBI has announced a number of major reforms, but true change may not take hold until the Bureau erases the fear that has permeated its culture.

—Janice Molloy

Coleen Rowley’s May 21 Memo to FBI Director Robert Mueller; “How the FBI Blew the Case,” Time, June 3, 2002

YOUR WORKOUT CHALLENGE

Systems Thinking Workout is designed to help you flex your systems thinking muscles. In this column, we introduce scenarios that contain interesting systemic structures. We then encourage you to read the story; identify what you see as the most relevant structures and themes; capture them graphically in causal loop diagrams, behavior over time graphs, or stock and flow diagrams; and, if you choose, send the diagrams to us with comments about why the dynamics you identified are important and where you think leverage might be for making lasting change. We’ll publish selected diagrams and comments in a subsequent issue of the newsletter. Fax your diagrams and analysis to (781) 894-7175, or e-mail them to editorial@pegasuscom.com.

Receive a Free Audiotape!

Please send your responses by August 19. Those whose responses are published will receive an organizational learning audiotape from a previous Pegasus conference—free!

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Breaking the Organizational Code of Silence https://thesystemsthinker.com/breaking-the-organizational-code-of-silence/ https://thesystemsthinker.com/breaking-the-organizational-code-of-silence/#respond Thu, 31 Dec 2015 01:41:57 +0000 http://systemsthinker.wpengine.com/?p=2696 e’ve all heard the adage “Silence is golden,” but how many of us realize the potentially negative impact that following this old saw can have in the workplace? In “Is Silence Killing Your Company?” (Harvard Business Review, May 2003), Leslie Perlow and Stephanie Williams cite their research, which shows that “silence is not only ubiquitous […]

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We’ve all heard the adage “Silence is golden,” but how many of us realize the potentially negative impact that following this old saw can have in the workplace? In “Is Silence Killing Your Company?” (Harvard Business Review, May 2003), Leslie Perlow and Stephanie Williams cite their research, which shows that “silence is not only ubiquitous and expected in organizations but extremely costly to both the firm and the individual.” They interviewed senior executives and employees from a wide diversity of organizations and discovered that “silence can exact a high psychological price on individuals, generating feelings of humiliation, pernicious anger, resentment, and the like that, if unexpressed, contaminate every interaction, shut down creativity, and undermine productivity.” In these challenging economic times, how many businesses can afford the costs that occur when employees keep mum?

Spiral of Silence

But how can simply keeping our opinions to ourselves undermine organizational success? Perlow and Williams describe a destructive “spiral of silence” that begins when someone chooses to keep her mouth shut about a problem or issue. The reasons for doing so usually involve preserving a relationship, maintaining one’s status within a group, conforming with the consensus perspective, or avoiding conflict. In other cases, a superior may actually try to stifle concerns or criticisms from a direct report to expedite the work on a project.

But rather than resolving anything, this kind of censorship—either internally or externally imposed—can lead an individual to experience a series of negative emotions, such as anxiety, anger, or resentment. Such strong feelings can cause him to feel disconnected from and distrustful of the person or group involved in the discussion and to become increasingly defensive in interactions with others. This sense of insecurity can bring more acts of silence and even higher levels of anxiety and other unproductive emotions.

According to the authors, the ultimate irony of this dynamic is that “we don’t speak up for fear of destroying our relationships, but in the end our silences create an emotional distance that becomes an unbridgeable rift.” When that happens, thinking remains stagnant, alternative courses of action remain unexplored, and the quality of work falls. In this way, trying to avoid rocking the boat can actually sink the ship.

Speaking Up

If the spiral of silence is so pervasive in our workplaces, then how can we overcome it? First, we need to create an organizational climate in which people feel they can speak up without fear of repercussions. As Perlow and Williams say, “Managers with a lot of authority need to be especially careful not to punish people, explicitly or implicitly, for speaking out.” At the same time, individuals can take the courageous step of expressing themselves in a constructive manner as well as valuing different opinions and perspectives. In addition, asking tough questions can be easier with the support of others who share the same perspective. Finally, taking these steps can be easier if we remember that we’re doing so for the good of the company as a whole. As the authors say, “Don’t forget: Your boss needs you, too. And knowing that should empower you to speak up and help him appreciate your point of view.”

—Janice Molloy

Causal loop diagrams don’t need to be complex to offer insights—hone your skills by drawing some of the loops described in this article. Also consider the following: Where are the leverage points for change; that is, how might a small change in the structure lead to big results?

YOUR WORKOUT CHALLENGE

Systems Thinking Workout is designed to help you flex your systems thinking muscles. In this column, we introduce scenarios that contain interesting systemic structures. We then encourage you to read the story; identify what you see as the most relevant structures and themes; capture them graphically in causal loop diagrams, behavior over time graphs, or stock and flow diagrams; and, if you choose, send the diagrams to us with comments about why the dynamics you identified are important and where you think leverage might be for making lasting change.

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Looping Home on the Range https://thesystemsthinker.com/looping-home-on-the-range-your-loops-here/ https://thesystemsthinker.com/looping-home-on-the-range-your-loops-here/#respond Tue, 29 Dec 2015 00:45:42 +0000 http://systemsthinker.wpengine.com/?p=2853 xamples of feedback loops in action crop up in the most unlikely places. In Disney’s last handdrawn animated motion picture, the recently released Home on the Range, a zany cast of characters is trapped in a vicious cycle of which cattle rustler Alameda Slim is the only beneficiary. Slim is intent on owning all the […]

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Examples of feedback loops in action crop up in the most unlikely places. In Disney’s last handdrawn animated motion picture, the recently released Home on the Range, a zany cast of characters is trapped in a vicious cycle of which cattle rustler Alameda Slim is the only beneficiary. Slim is intent on owning all the land in the state, including a small dairy farm called “Patch of Heaven.” He uses his unique ability to woo cows through hypnotic yodeling to strip ranches of their cattle. Without a source of income, the ranchers are unable to pay their mortgages.

Vicious Cycle of Foreclosures


Vicious Cycle of Foreclosures

Meanwhile, with all of the defaulted loans, the banks are in trouble and must call in the ranchers’ loans. When the ranchers can’t come up with the money, the bank forecloses and puts the property up for auction. Slim, disguised as an upstanding landowner, then buys the properties for a song and continues his rustling ways.

When Alice, owner of “Patch of Heaven,” is forced to come up with $750 to pay off her loan, it looks as though all is lost for her and her menagerie. But three enterprising cows—Maggie, Grace, and Mrs. Caloway—manage to put an end to Slim’s nefarious deeds by capturing him and using the reward money to pay off Alice’s bank debt. Three cheers for bovine ingenuity!

—Janice Molloy

YOUR LOOPS HERE!

Mapping out the dynamic behavior in a situation is a skill and, like any other ability (including speaking Japanese, ice skating, or creating a soufflé), it requires practice. To give you an opportunity to exercise your systems thinking “muscles,” we periodically publish a “Systems Thinking Workout Challenge.” The challenge is a scenario usually based on an article from the popular media that includes some interesting dynamics. We encourage you to read the write-up, identify the key variables, and create causal loop diagrams, stock and flow diagrams, or behavior over time graphs that depict the feedback processes at work.

So, stretch out and start flexing those ST muscles—today!

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Higher Education and the Income Gap https://thesystemsthinker.com/higher-education-and-the-income-gap/ https://thesystemsthinker.com/higher-education-and-the-income-gap/#respond Thu, 17 Dec 2015 00:58:18 +0000 http://systemsthinker.wpengine.com/?p=2877 he recent economic boom in the U. S. has had commentators gushing about a new age of prosperity. However, that same boom hasn’t done much to reduce wage inequality. Although the problem has leveled off somewhat, the gap between top and bottom wage earners still stands at a 30-year high. And according to some experts, […]

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The recent economic boom in the U. S. has had commentators gushing about a new age of prosperity. However, that same boom hasn’t done much to reduce wage inequality. Although the problem has leveled off somewhat, the gap between top and bottom wage earners still stands at a 30-year high. And according to some experts, this lasting discrepancy between rich and poor may be the country’s most pressing social problem.

“A Train Wreck”

Tradition has it that a good education is the best way to join the ranks of top wage earners. However, for demographic reasons, national spending on higher education has lagged. Specifically, today’s college age generation is relatively small compared with the preceding baby boomers and the coming wave of potential college students. As a result, although the number of college students is rising in absolute terms, that number has actually been falling as a share of the overall population hence the shrinking in higher education funding.

At the same time, tuitions are rising inexorably. In addition, more and more young people who are soon to reach college age are children of minority, immigrant, and poorer families. Many of these individuals will need financial aid to get through college. As William Piekens, executive director of the California Citizens Commission on Higher Education, warns, “There’s a train wreck coming unless we find ways to help.”

The coalescence of these various trends has troubling implications for the wage gap. The main problem is that the ability to get a college degree has been skewed in favor of already affluent men and women. With shrinking financial aid available, many poorer students have little hope of achieving that all important degree. And without a way to educate less fortunate groups, the U. S. has equally little hope of closing the wage gap.

Implications for Business

Why is the wage gap such a concern? The impact of wage disparities on those who are excluded from rising prosperity is well documented. But economists have also found that the demand for college educated workers has outstripped the demand for non-degreed workers, since at least the 1940s. At the same time, the growth in the supply of those skilled workers has slowed in the 1990s. If arising percentage of the population can’t afford to go to college, the U. S.risks losing its competitive edge inthe international marketplace. Clearly, narrowing the wage and skills gap would be well worth the investment.

Renewing its commitment to higher education

Renewing its commitment to higher education would give the U. S.a powerful way to close that gap. How? If higher ed spending were to rise, college enrollments especially from low-income families could also rise. As the percentage of college educated workers increased, the simple laws of supply and demand would kick in: The shrinking supply of non-college educated workers would exert upward pressure on low-skilled wages. At the same time, satisfying employers’ hunger for skills would slow the disproportionate growth of pay increases among college educated employees. Together, these changes could dramatically close the wage gap and improve the U. S. work force’s competitiveness.

Increasing investments in higher education will certainly prove expensive. However, it just might set in motion a virtuous cycle – one in which a narrowed wage gap and amore competitive workforce could mean increased prosperity for every-one.

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